Rigotnomics' World Cup pool

Less than a month before the start of the World Cup! Time to place your bets! Rigotnomics is organizing a pool. Participation is 5 CHF with a chance to win big money! Here's how it works. Predict the outcome of all of the first round matches by filling this form, and pay me the 5 CHF before 1 June. The person who gets the highest percentage of correctly predicted games wins it all! Rankings and results will be updated daily. So, what will predict World Cup results better, statistical models or Rigotnomics' market?